Content Strategy & Psychology
7 Structural Hallucinations that Keep Your Content Invisible
Why we are armoring the wrong parts of our creativity and how to see the “skipped” data points that actually matter.
In , the Statistical Research Group at Columbia University faced a problem that sounds like a logic puzzle. They were looking at returning bombers riddled with bullet holes. The military wanted to know where to add more armor.
The obvious answer, the one that screamed from the jagged metal, was to reinforce the wings and the fuselage where the holes were thickest. But Abraham Wald, a mathematician who understood that what we see is often a lie told by what we don’t, suggested the exact opposite.
VITAL AREA
The Wald Paradox: Armor the engine (where the survivors have no holes) because those hit there never return to be counted.
He told them to put the armor where the holes weren’t. He realized they were only looking at the survivors. The planes hit in the engines or the stickpit didn’t come back to be counted. They were the “skipped” data points, resting at the bottom of the English Channel, and their silence was the only thing that actually mattered.
The digital content industry is currently making the same mistake, but with higher-resolution charts and much more expensive coffee. We pore over the “viral” hits, the videos with 12 million shares, hunting for the common DNA of success. We assume
